Carbon Shift: How the Twin Crises of Oil Depletion and Climate Change Will Define the Future argues that the crises of climate change and peaking oil production are really one: a carbon problem. The book brings together six world-class experts to explore where we stand now and where we might be headed. Learn more »
The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity and the Renewal of Civilization sets out a theory of the growth, crisis, and renewal of societies. Some kinds of crisis can open up extraordinary opportunities for creative, bold reform of our societies, if we’re prepared to exploit these opportunities when they arise. Learn more »
Is our world becoming too complex and too fast-paced to manage? The Ingenuity Gap argues that a dangerous gulf is opening between our need for practical, innovative ideas to solve our increasingly difficult problems and our actual supply of those ideas. Learn more »
Environment, Scarcity, and Violence shows how scarcities of critical renewable resources like cropland, fresh water, and forests will contribute to insurrections, ethnic clashes, urban unrest, and other forms of civil violence in poor countries. Learn more »
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Displaying 2 of 182 results for: Ingenuity Gap
Population and Development Review, vol. 21, no. 33 (September 1995) ABSTRACT As human population and material consumption increase in coming decades, scarcities of natural resources will increase in some regions. Will societies be able to adapt? The present article builds on three key insights derived, in part, from “new growth theory” in economics. First, ideas [...]
In a widely read article in February’s Atlantic Monthly, Robert Kaplan argues that many countries are on the threshold of anarchy; some, he asserts, have already crossed it. Kaplan draws on his experience reporting from dozens of poor countries and on the findings of an international team of researchers I have led for the past three years. He paints an appalling picture of demographic and resource stresses eviscerating developing societies, tearing apart their social fabrics and institutions, and enfeebling their governments.
