At this web site you’ll find information about my background, teaching, research, and writing. The site includes some of my writings as well as a Forum where we can discuss issues of common interest. If you’d like to receive my newsletter, just enter your email address in the box at the bottom of the page. Enjoy your visit.
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A Phase Shift in Oil Supply
These charts appeared in James Murray & David King, “Climate Policy: Oil’s tipping point has passed,” in Nature, 26 January 2012. They show how, beginning about 2005, tightening global oil supply increased the sensitivity of oil price to small changes in global oil demand. View charts »
An op-ed in the Toronto Globe and Mail
Analysts concerned about global oil supply usually point to two basic facts. First, each year, the world’s mature conventional fields produce about four million barrels a day less oil than the previous year, a gap that has to be filled just to keep global output constant. In only five years, that gap grows to 20 million barrels a day of production – equivalent to twice Saudi Arabia’s output, which is mammoth. Second, the world’s cheap and easy-to-get oil is disappearing fast. So, on average, each additional barrel requires more work, more complex technology, more environmental risk to get and refine than the last.
Go to "Our Peak Oil Premium" »
An article in the journal Ambio
Ongoing and rapid rapid changes in the physical environment of the marine Arctic will push components of the region’s existing social-ecological systems beyond tipping points and into new regimes. We emphasize the need to understand the Arctic’s role in an increasingly nonlinear world; then we describe emerging evidence on the connectivity of system components from the subarctic seas surrounding northern North America; and finally we propose an approach to allow northern residents to observe, adapt and—if necessary—transform the social-ecological system with which they live.
Go to "Detecting and Coping with Disruptive Shocks in Arctic Marine Systems: A Resilience Approach to Place and People" »
